Football strategy analysis platform

Stop guessing.
Analyse football strategies with real historical data.

Analyse strategies against years of real match data and historical prices. Measure returns, drawdowns, consecutive loss runs, robustness and statistical validity — in one clean research workflow.

No credit card required · Free tier available

2010–Now
Historical data
18+
Leagues covered
MC + OOS
Statistical validation
Compare · Optimise
Strategy tools

Example strategy

Over 2.5 Goals · Price filter 2.10–2.50

Demo result
Net Return
+581.75u
Return Rate
+6.09%
Max Drawdown
341.35u
Success Rate
53.7%
Total Matches
564
Max Loss Run
6
Advanced validation

Stability Score

100 / 100

Monte Carlo

62.6% ruin

Train / Test

Moderate

Most tools stop at headline returns. This shows drawdowns, loss runs, robustness and out-of-sample survivability — the full statistical picture.

Net Return+581.75u
Return+6.09%
Success Rate53.7%
Total Matches564
Max Drawdown341.35u
Stability Score100 / 100
Optimised Return+32.0%
Leagues18+
Matches in DB50,000+
Sizing Methods5
Net Return+581.75u
Return+6.09%
Success Rate53.7%
Total Matches564
Max Drawdown341.35u
Stability Score100 / 100
Optimised Return+32.0%
Leagues18+
Matches in DB50,000+
Sizing Methods5

Why it's different

Built for validation, not blind optimism

Most analysts only look at headline returns. Serious research needs variance, drawdowns, robustness and out-of-sample behaviour.

What most people do

  • Rely on intuition instead of historical data
  • Judge a strategy only by headline returns
  • Ignore drawdown and variance analysis
  • Overfit filters until the chart looks good
  • Miss how fragile the strategy is on new data

What Football Backtester does

  • Tests strategies on real match data and historical prices
  • Shows return rate, drawdown, loss runs and price bucket breakdown
  • Simulates variance with Monte Carlo analysis
  • Splits in-sample vs out-of-sample performance
  • Helps compare, optimise and validate ideas fast

Features

Everything to research a strategy properly

From quick backtests to deep validation — idea → test → refinement.

Backtest in seconds

Run strategies across thousands of historical matches and instantly see performance curve, return, drawdown and success rate.

Apply precise match filters

Filter by team, price range, form (last N games, min wins), home/away split. Build precise conditions for rigorous historical analysis.

See variance, not just returns

Underwater drawdown charts, consecutive loss analysis, price bucket breakdowns, monthly performance and variance stress tests.

Validate statistically

Monte Carlo simulation, stability scoring and train/test splits to see whether performance is real edge or just noise.

Compare strategies side by side

Overlay performance curves and compare returns, drawdowns, success rates and consistency across up to 5 strategies at once.

Optimize and discover

Sweep price ranges, form thresholds and sizing parameters to find stronger variants of your strategy automatically.

How it works

From idea to validated strategy

Four steps. Fast iteration. Data-driven.

STEP 01

Build

Pick a league, outcome market, price range, team/form filters and sizing model.

STEP 02

Backtest

See return rate, performance curve, drawdown, consecutive losses and price bucket breakdown instantly.

STEP 03

Validate

Run Monte Carlo, train/test split and robustness checks to assess survivability.

STEP 04

Refine

Compare variants, optimise thresholds, stress-test sizing models and save best versions.

Coverage

18+ leagues. Thousands of matches.

Not just the top 6 — real depth across European football, all with historical closing prices from 2010.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿English Premier League
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿English Championship
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿English League One
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿English League Two
🇪🇸Spanish La Liga
🇪🇸Spanish La Liga 2
🇩🇪German Bundesliga
🇩🇪German Bundesliga 2
🇮🇹Italian Serie A
🇮🇹Italian Serie B
🇫🇷French Ligue 1
🇫🇷French Ligue 2
🇳🇱Dutch Eredivisie
🇵🇹Portuguese Primeira Liga
🇧🇪Belgian First Division A
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿Scottish Premiership
🇹🇷Turkish Super Lig
🇬🇷Greek Super League

All leagues include historical closing market data from Football-Data.co.uk · Data from 2010 to present

Analysis Markets

Supported match outcome markets

Home Win (1X2)Draw (1X2)Away Win (1X2)Over 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 GoalsBoth Teams Score — YesBoth Teams Score — No

Pricing

Simple pricing for serious strategy research

Start free. Upgrade when you need deeper validation tools and full league coverage.

Free

€0/month

Explore the platform and run basic strategy analyses with no commitment.

  • 1 league access
  • 2 recent seasons of data
  • 2 saved strategies
  • Basic backtesting & analytics
  • Flat unit sizing
  • Advanced filters (team, form)
  • Monte Carlo & robustness tools
  • Optimizer & pattern finder
  • All 18+ leagues & full archive
  • Advanced sizing models (Kelly, Fibonacci etc.)
Get Started Free
Most Popular

Premium

€14.99/month

Full access to every league, advanced analytics and validation tools.

  • All 18+ European leagues
  • Full archive: 2010 to present
  • Unlimited saved strategies
  • Advanced team & form filters
  • Advanced sizing models (Kelly, Fibonacci etc.)
  • Monte Carlo simulation
  • Stability score
  • Train / test split
  • Strategy optimizer
  • Pattern finder
  • Sensitivity analysis
  • Side-by-side strategy comparison
  • Email support
Start Premium

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Clear answers before you commit.

Is this a prediction or tipping service?

No. Football Backtester is a data analysis tool. It tests historical strategies using real match data and odds — it does not provide tips or guarantee any results.

What makes this different from a spreadsheet?

You get strategy filters, drawdown charts, price bucket analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, train/test validation and side-by-side comparison built in — no formula maintenance, no data wrangling.

How many leagues are available?

18+ European leagues including the top English, Spanish, German, Italian, French, Dutch, Portuguese, Belgian, Scottish, Turkish and Greek leagues — all with historical closing price data from 2010 to present.

Can I use it for free first?

Yes. The free plan gives you 1 league, 2 seasons of data and 2 saved strategies — enough to explore the workflow and see if it fits how you research.

Which markets are supported?

1X2 (Home Win, Draw, Away Win), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, and Both Teams To Score. More strategy logic is available through the price range and filter tools.

Ready to analyse your next football strategy properly?

Create a free account and start analysing in minutes. Upgrade only when you want the full research toolkit.